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US Data Center Briefing · January 21, 2026

January 21, 2026

Moody’s: $3T global data centre capex outlook; power constraints flagged Google backs CO2 batteries for long-duration clean backup power India: AM Group MoU for 1 GW AI compute hub (~$25bn) with 2028/2030 milestones Capital flows: SOFAZ may commit up to $1.5bn to GIP/BlackRock-linked infrastructure funds Connectivity scale: Verizon closes $20bn Frontier deal adding ~9m fiber passings

Top news (what matters most today)

  • Scale of the build-out is getting clearer:Moody’s projects $3 trillion investment in global data centers over the next five years and expects global data centre electricity use to reach ~600 TWh in 2026. It flags power constraints, hyperscaler concentration risk, rising costs, and a potential AI investment bubble.
  • New approach to clean backup power for major campuses:Google commissions CO2 batteries for data center backup power with Energy Dome (and made an equity investment). The reference plant in Ottana, Sardinia stores 2,000 tons of CO2 and can deliver 200 MWh (20 MW over 10 hours).
  • Very large AI compute project announced in India:AM Group Announces 1 GW AI Compute Hub in India via an MoU with Invest UP (Uttar Pradesh) for a phased 1 GW High Performance Compute Hub in Greater Noida, targeting ~USD 25bn investment; first capacity by 2028, full build by 2030.

Key deals & capital moves

Middle East / Caucasus

  • Potential new LP capital into infra funds + joint investments:Azerbaijan signs Memorandum with BlackRock and GIP in Davos. Under the MoI, SOFAZ may commit up to $1.5bn over 3–4 years into GIP-managed infrastructure funds and joint investments, with a stated project set that includes data centres, regional cloud and AI infrastructure, and airports.

North America

Corporate/market backdrop (M&A)

Major data centre / compute projects and demand signals

South Asia (India)

  • Hyperscale AI compute hub announcement:AM Group Announces 1 GW AI Compute Hub in India
    • Location: Greater Noida (Uttar Pradesh)
    • Scale/timing: 1 GW total; first capacity by 2028, full by 2030
    • Energy claim: 24/7 carbon-free energy
    • Tech: ~500,000 high-performance chipsets (as stated)
  • Government-to-government demand enablers (energy + AI cooperation):India, UAE set $200 billion annual trade target by 2032 includes a long-term 0.5 million metric tonnes/year LNG supply agreement and stated cooperation on AI/supercomputing and UAE investment in data centre capacity.

Global (AI demand and operator implications)

  • Compute + financial scale signal from a key AI buyer:OpenAI reports $20B annualised revenue, targets 2027 IPO
    • Reported >$20bn annualised revenue (2025)
    • Compute capacity rising to 1.9 GW
    • Mentions an October 2025 recapitalisation and a definitive agreement with Microsoft (~27% ownership, exclusive IP rights through 2032)
  • Design/retrofit pressure from AI densities:AI-driven surge reshapes data center design and operations cites high-density racks up to 130 kW, and notes one-third of US facilities are over a decade old, pushing modular/adaptive designs and more advanced cooling and energy management.

Power, storage and grid/interconnection highlights

Long-duration storage for resiliency / backup

  • CO2 “battery” as an alternative to Li-ion at campus scale:Google commissions CO2 batteries for data center backup power
    • Energy Dome’s Ottana facility: 200 MWh (20 MW x 10 hours), 2,000 tons CO2
    • Energy Dome expectation: ~30% cheaper than lithium-ion (as stated)
    • Also notes: Alliant Energy approval to build a CO2 battery serving 18,000 homes in Wisconsin

Policy-linked grid/storage issues (US)

India power adequacy narrative (RE-RTC)

  • Round-the-clock renewables positioning for fast capacity build:States must pursue RE-RTC to power India’s growth argues RE-plus-storage can be built in 2–3 years vs 6–7 years for coal, citing competitive bids with storage tariffs of ₹2.1–₹2.8/unit and noting >80% BESS cost declines.
  • Renewables developer view tied to AI-driven load growth:ReNew CEO sees massive India renewables demand from AI outlines “smart and measured” expansion across storage/manufacturing/green hydrogen and data centres, citing India targets (1,000 GW by 2040, 1,800 GW by 2047), current 150 GW, and ~50 GW added last year.

Networks, hardware and supply chain (capacity constraints and performance)

Memory supply crunch risk (AI build-out bottleneck)

Data centre networking for AI clusters

Operations productivity / managed infrastructure

Policy / regulation and public procurement

Europe

  • Public-sector ICT procurement mechanism (Slovakia):Slovakia buyer opens dynamic procurement for IT equipment. The Slovak Office for Public Procurement established a Dynamic Purchasing System (DNS) for ICT/computing equipment (estimated €796,489.54 ex VAT). A contract under LOT-0001 was awarded to Invidia Solutions, a.s. with value €3,355.00 (concluded 19/12/2025).

Southeast Asia

Construction and delivery risk


2-line wrap:
Material risks are concentrating around power availability, delivery capacity (labor), and hardware supply chains as AI demand scales. At the same time, capital formation and new backup-power technologies are broadening the set of investable pathways beyond traditional UPS/genset assumptions.

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