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US Data Center Briefing · January 10, 2026

January 10, 2026

20-year nuclear PPAs underpin hyperscale expansion FERC rulemaking targets >20 MW large-load interconnections Environmental permitting tightening for data centres (Ohio NPDES) Local opposition to gas + transmission tied to data-centre load Mega-scale AI campuses announced with large capex (xAI $20bn)

Top news (3)

  1. Meta locks in long-dated nuclear supply in PJM
  • Vistra and Meta sign 20-year PPAs to support nuclear generation: 20-year PPAs for 2,609 MW of zero-carbon nuclear energy in PJM.
    • Supply includes 2,176 MW from operating units plus 433 MW of uprates.
    • Plants referenced: Beaver Valley (PA), Davis-Besse (OH), Perry (OH).
    • Meta support starts late 2026, with full capacity by 2034.
    • Vistra says the contracts support pursuing subsequent 20-year NRC license renewals.
  1. US regulators moving toward standardised rules for >20 MW “large load” interconnections
  1. US environmental permitting and local opposition intensify around data-centre-linked infrastructure
  • Ohio EPA proposes first general NPDES permit for data centers: draft general permit OHD000001 would regulate statewide data centre wastewater/stormwater discharges (incl. cooling tower and boiler blowdown) with effluent limits + monitoring, five-year term, Notice of Intent, and $200 application fee.
  • PEC urges Fluvanna to reject Tenaska 1.5 GW gas plant: environmental group urges “no” on a second 1.5 GW gas plant in Fluvanna County, Virginia, citing impacts from a Harvard Dominici Lab study and arguing it would mainly serve data centres in central/northern Virginia alongside a proposed ~155-mile 765-kV transmission line.

Key deals and projects

United States

  • Hyperscale / AI buildouts

    • xAI announces $20B Macrohard supercomputing hub in Mississippi: xAI to invest $20bn in a Southaven (DeSoto County), Mississippi “Macrohard” supercomputing hub, contributing to a cluster intended to deliver ~2 GW of processing capacity.
      • Built under tax incentives approved in 2024; expected to begin operations within a month.
      • Reported environmental/community pushback (petition 900+ signatures).
  • Site-level development risk (municipal approvals)

    • Allen Park postpones decision on 26 MW Solstice data center: Allen Park Planning Commission postponed decision on Solstice Data’s proposed 26 MW edge data center for additional studies, fire review, and outreach.
      • Developer cited impacts: ~25 permanent jobs, ~200 construction jobs, and $6.2m–$7.4m/year in property tax revenue.

India

Europe

Central Asia


Power, grid, and interconnection highlights

United States

  • Large-load interconnection standardisation (potentially material for DC timelines and network upgrade risk allocation)

  • Flexible load as a grid resource (software-enabled demand shaping)

India

Nuclear supply contracting (US)

  • Additional SMR deployment detail (beyond the Vistra PPAs)
    • Meta, TerraPower to build up to 8 Natrium reactors: Meta to fund deployment of TerraPower’s Natrium reactors (up to eight units, up to 2.4 GW), funding early development of two units and securing rights for up to six more.
      • Natrium design: 345 MW sodium fast reactor paired with molten salt storage that can boost output to 500 MW for >5 hours.
      • First commercial project expected complete 2030; additional unit delivery anticipated as early as 2032.

Policy and regulation

United States

  • Water and wastewater regulation for data centres (new statewide template)

  • Energy policy supporting storage and firming options

    • Pritzker signs Illinois energy law boosting batteries, renewables: Illinois Clean and Reliable Grid Affordability Act enables battery storage, lifts a moratorium on large-scale nuclear, and authorizes long-term contracts and geothermal pilots.
      • Illinois Power Agency estimates 3 GW battery deployment by 2031 could add small surcharges but reduce average monthly residential bills by several dollars (Ameren: $3.90–$8.28; ComEd: $1.46–$1.85).
  • Environmental compliance flexibility framed as grid reliability for AI load growth

  • Local permitting and social license for gas + transmission serving data centres

Telecom / connectivity deal conditions (US)

  • Verizon opposes broadband deployment obligations in Frontier deal: Verizon objects to a CPUC requirement tied to its $20bn Frontier acquisition to deliver 100/20 Mbps to all locations served by 88 rural wire centers within five years.
    • Verizon proposes exclusions (already served / no requests) and alternatives where fiber cost exceeds $10,000 per location.
    • CPUC could vote as early as Jan 15; DOJ approval expiry Feb 13.

Technology, operations, and market signals (investor-relevant)

  • Macro outlook and infrastructure implications

    • Global data center sector to add almost 100 GW: JLL forecasts ~100 GW new capacity 2026–2030, creating ~$1.2tn in real estate value (Americas ~half).
      • Notes multi-year grid connection delays as a driver of behind-the-meter power, BESS, liquid cooling, and higher rack densities (estimated tripling to ~45 kW).
      • Estimates $1–$2tn in tenant fit-out spending by 2030.
  • Cooling architecture shift risk/opportunity (supply chain + retrofit capex)

  • Cyber/operational risk for DC infrastructure management tooling

  • Physical security as a scaling constraint


Two-line wrap

Long-dated clean power contracting and interconnection process reform are moving to the centre of data-centre delivery risk.
At the same time, permitting (water, air, coal ash) and security (physical + control-plane vulnerabilities) are becoming more material to uptime and expansion timelines.

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